>>37
WOOOOOOOOO
I AM THE GHOST OF MALTHUS WOOOOOO
I need to make a statement about economics, our views of it have changed over time, the "laws" of economics don't always go how we predict, for example, "stagflation" was an abberation from typical economic thought, and seemed to laugh in the face of the inflation/unemployment equilibrium that intellectuals worked around. The impact of human beings on the environment is profound, and economic stability is a much better goal imo than straining the environment with neverceasing economic growth. Can you give me an example withing the last 10 years of a countrie's problems with a negative population growth? I see the Germans with a 25% unemployment rate in the eastern bloc, I see the Japanese with a hemorraging economy, businesses downsizing and becoming more mechanized, how do these factor in to the economic predictions you have made? Not to mention that technology also has the habit of taking jobs away from human beings, a factor that makes lower population more attractive. (why have a kid who may have to freeload for the rest of his life?)
The arguement I see being made is that we are supposed to have an ENDLESS technological improvement to counteract the strains of a rising population, and frankly, it's fallacious.
You people argue that Malthus is wrong because of the factor of technology, but you seem to forget that scientific breakthroughs don't happen from sheer force of will, we may never develop a way to perform nuclear fusion as an energy source, we may never develop a solution to Developing countries food problems, why are you assuming that we will? Hell, in the 50s they thought we'd be commuting to work in flying cars, but our carpool vehicles are still earthbound to this day.
Malthus was wrong only in applying the factors of technology to the human growth curve, but in biology, all populations are bound to the same fate, they eventually outstrip their food supply and many will die to bring the production/consumption into balance. Humans are biological organisms, and as long as our American Economists encourage parents to buy Bonds rather than put their kids through college to become scientists, we aren't going to be able to sustain our population growth with technological improvements to food production. (Basically, stop fapping and go do some science if you want to not look like a fool later.)
If higher population is so enormously good for the economy, why have higher populations not filled out the unemployment rate? Why are so many people without jobs? Because they aren't fucking needed. If higher population hasn't solved unemployment, who's to say that a lower population will leave corporations starving for workers? They don't need the excess, why not decrease the population to remove excess unemployed laborers? And even if corporations are starving for laborers, when labor becomes more in demand, their value will go up, and laborers get the benefit of higher wages and benefits from being a rarer commodity. You may scream "communist" for this boon to labor, but I'd bet that some of these laborers would use the extra money they get from wages towards starting their own businesses with better technology and with a decreased need for laborers themselves, enriching the ecomomy further.
In conclusion, you may bitch at Malthus for being wrong, but he was only partially wrong, the laws of nature still apply to man, and it's definately foolish thinking to believe that man will continue to trump nature well into the future when we have issues like global warming, loss of biological diversity, AIDS, Bird Flu and the ilk knocking at our front door. I think it would be better to try at economic and population stability, rather than keep chugging down the tracks that lead to possible disaster. It's never been tried before, the negative as well as the positive outcomes of a trend toward stability are not confirmed, why not try it?
BTW, I AM THE OP IF YOU DIDN'T FIGURE IT OUT.