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A thought, discuss please.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 5:04

Assuming that you could plot every action of every creature, plant, pebble, and ocean stream, could you in fact know the future?

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 7:51

I believe in determinism, which I believe you are referring to.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Determinism

It seems to make sense if you extrapolate the fact that the past effects the future in many instances.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 9:16

>>1
Yes, you would, assuming the Universe is deterministic (and not that I believe in anything, but it looks to me like the simplest theory, so I take it as true and work with it unless it breaks or it's proven false).

However, calculating the future in either a computer or your brain is probably impossible, as you'd have to know all parameters (the "state"), some of which probably require infinite precision, for which your require infinite matter which you don't have.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 10:32

So...if the universe is a finite state machine, it is deteministic. If it is an infinite state machine, it is not?

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 14:33

>>4
Erm, I think you are correct, but you probably know just as well as I do.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-14 16:35

Heisenburg uncertainty principle.

Name: CCFreak2K 2005-09-14 22:54

I don't believe it's possible to predict the future with 100% certainty.

Say an anvil is falling, and you see it's going to land on someone standing on the sidewalk.  Of course, you could say that the anvil will hit him, but what if he moves?

I could go either way on this issue really, but that was the only way I could actually back up my claim.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-15 7:26

>>7
I think the theory here is that if all the conditions including your body and brain is known, then one could* predict what you would do. Yes, it implies that people are predictable beings; people have no free will, it is just an illusion etc.

*could doesn't mean it's possible with current technology

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-15 19:57

There was a thing I read saying that it would be impoosible to predict inside the universe, because you would have to create a complete model of the universe inside the universe, which is impossible.

I couldn't be arsed to read the uncertainty principle, but these uncertainties, as I have assumed them, don't constitute anything that could lead to freewill because it acts on a sub-atomic (?) level, not on a cellular level. I think that the uncertainty isn't actually uncertain, but simply not understood and therefore determinism stands up. Of course, that is a rather large assumption and I don't really know anything etc.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-20 22:52

>>9

Interestingly, if I read you correctly, you're arguing against the basis of Schroedinger's cat.  IE, that subatomic events can percolate up into (collapse into) macroscopic/observable states.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-21 0:04

>>9
Uncertainty priciple is pretty simple actually. It basicly is the fact that you change the result of a measurement by the act of measuring it. This was pointed out when we realized we couldn't know both the velocity AND the position of an electron at any point in time.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-21 9:05

>>10
You've gone over my head; I need to learn some physics.

>>11
It seems the uncertainty principle wasn't what I thought. I was addressing the argument that the uncertainty in quantum mechanics, or whatever it is, can somehow allow for freewill.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-21 11:38

>>11,12
I don't think Uncertainty Principle counts here because if one knows all the details of a situation, one would not have to measure it. One could just calculate the next 'step'.

Therefore quantum changes are determinable and NO FREE WILL. OH NOES.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-22 11:10

>>13

... Wrong.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-22 14:18

here's the issue as I see it :

given:  there is something under what we now understand.  this is self evident as quantum physics and relativistic physics do not agree on different scales.

if the underlying reality is probability based, the the universe it not deterministic, and even if we knew the exact location, velocity, energy, etc. of all the particles in the universe we could still not determine the future.  we could make very accurate predictions, but they would become less and less accurate as time goes on.

on the other hand, if probability does not factor into it, then theroretically we could design a system that could predict all of history at once based on a simple measurment. ( this acually happens in on of the hichhikers' guide books, but that's a bit of a tangent.)

so the answer right now is maybe.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-22 18:15

>>14
No, he was right. There's no free will (oh noes, my freedom, h4x!! will all hippies say).

Free will is an illusion of determinism. And in a non-deterministic Universe, there's no free will whatsoever, as your actions don't determine the future.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 10:45

>>13

I mean his interpretation of the uncertainty principle.

Please consult your nearest undergraduate physics book.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 11:01

Anyone have an undergraduate physics book to recommend?

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 13:25

asking me to recommend a text book is like asking me to recommend a way to get kicked in the nuts, still the UW is using
physics
for science and engeneers
with modern physics
a strategic approach
by randall D. Knight

and they were in like the top 20 science colleges in the US, so they're probibly ok.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 15:52

>>17
I was wrong in that there will not be a first state for the state machine to calculate because once I measured it, it will change and I can't measure that change. I think.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 15:54

>>17
explain how i was wrong, will you. i didn't write that much.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 17:01

>>19
Ta.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 17:05

>>1
The question really doesn't make since, basically your asking if you knew everything would you know everything.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-23 19:57

I'm pretty sure that science currently believes that radioactive decay is a truly random process, thereby destroying determinism.  I don't really buy it, though lol

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-27 16:28

>>24
I don't like the current non-deterministic trend. I'm more of an Einstein follower.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-27 17:54

Stop saying you don't "like" a trend or not. Makes science look too much like humanities.

Name: Anonymous 2005-09-27 19:16

>>1
The answer doesn't matter.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-15 0:51

>>19
"they were in like the top 20 science colleges in the US, so they're probibly ok."

Good thing you're not majoring in English.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-15 3:41

>>27
Hurrah for pragmatism.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-16 3:43

>>25
There is no debate.  It's not a "trend."  It is accepted as fact.  Classical determinism still holds in classical systems, and random quantum systems still have waveform determinism.  But randomness does occur, according to all the evidence.  You are in no position to refute anything.  What means do you have to do so?  Your words?  They are only good for explaining evidence.  You have none.

Science: What You Like Doesn't Matter.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-16 5:58

It is accepted as fact.

Theories aren't accepted as facts, not even by the scientific community.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-16 9:55

>>31
Do remember that the scientific community includes many types of people, some of them relatively stupid.

Name: Anonymous 2005-10-18 10:14

>>31
Unless you're a biologist.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-10 18:40

>>16
This man wins the discussion.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-11 14:17

>>34
Because he stated his view? Does his view happen to coincide with your own. I BET 300402854028975986 DOLLARS THAT IT DOES.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-12 22:17

If you were to create am infinate state divice it whould have to find the state of itself witch is impossible at the level required. Also if probability doesnt exit than... um... O SHI I CANT THINK OF ANYTHING THAT COULDNT BE PREDICTED GIVEN INFINATE DATA O NOES

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-23 23:21

sorry, the universe is infinitely precise, meaning you would need to be omnipotent to predict everything

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-24 0:07

>>37

no, the universe is quantum...

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-26 23:14

This arguement is pointless in being that,

a) IF you knew the position and velocity of every particle in the universe there would be no way of storing this information.

b) Assuming a) is irrelevant, you would then need every particle in the universe to run even one iteration of the calculation required to predict the next sequence of events.

c) Assuming a) and b) are irrelevant, you would cause instant and catastrophic entropy in the universe by running such a machine.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-27 11:25

Why don't you morons get jobs and fuck off?

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-27 12:50

>>39
run it outside the universe. i think we have to assume the universe is a finite state machine if this is to work.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-27 12:54

When you can predict quantum mechanics, go get your nobel physics award. If not STFU.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-27 16:13

To me, there is nothing as attractive as the ass of a healthy 10 year old white boy.

Name: Anonymous 2005-11-27 16:35

cute

Name: Anonymous 2005-12-21 13:44

i don't think determinism is compatable with the timeline splitting into infinite possibilities theory. OR IS IT?

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 8:10

Wouldn't you need another universe to simulate this universe precisely?

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 11:16

That's a pretty deep thought, man.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 12:35

Laplace's demon is what such a process would be called.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 13:52

According to one of  my Quantum mech books.

you'd need to know the location of every atom and then the direction its moving in.  and it has to e in 3D..

Currently we cannot store that much data.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 18:18

>>50
according to my dick you are an idiot

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 18:34


>>51

According to this, you have no idea what where talking about
go back  to HS.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-19 19:55

Man. 2005 was full of morons.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-21 14:33

Depends on what causes heisenburg uncertainty.

Name: 4tran 2008-10-21 15:46

>>54
Nontrivial commutator between position and momentum operators.

Name: Anonymous 2008-10-21 19:24

>>54
Man. 2008 is full of idiots too.

Don't change these.
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