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baseball

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-18 23:47

is it possible to write a lisp program that takes as input every conceivable statistic of every mlb baseball game ever played, weighs them appropriately then correctly predicts the score of all future baseball games with at least 51% accuracy?

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 0:34

Not provably, but yes.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 0:42

I don't see why language would matter, but that dangling 1% is interesting.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 0:54

>>2
Then why haven't you done it and made millions on bodog?

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 1:27

Baseball scores aren't predictable in the Major League. They're effectively random.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 1:39

>>5
You don't need to predict the score, though, just whether or not the favorite covers the spread.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 1:54

>>6
lol wut

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 2:12

>>7
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spread_betting

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 2:56

>>6
(The spread is also a prediction of the score).

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 17:30

>>9
SPREAD MY ANUS CHEEKS

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 17:53

then correctly predicts the score of all future baseball games with at least 51% accuracy?
How the hell am I supposed to unit test that?

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 17:59

>>11
By feeding it scores up to last year and testing if it correctly predicts the scores of the games that have already been played this year. Moron.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 18:50

Will this application be keeping track of the conditions on the field, the weather and position of the sun, the players' individual mindsets and what would affect them, and things like that?

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 18:54

>>13
Has never done any data mining.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 19:09

>>13
Yes, but it makes the assumption that quantifiable data (weather, position of the sun, attendance, and regular stats) have more of an impact on the game than unquantifiable stuff (player mindsets), even though that would be accounted for as much as possible (like "batting avg in home games after losing 1 away game," "rbi's per game in away game rubber matches," "era at home when 1-1 in last 2 pitching decisions," etc)

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 19:44

>>12
Only an idiot would extrapolate from one year to all future years

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 20:25

>>16
Maybe you should learn to read.

Name: Anonymous 2010-09-19 21:40

>>1
No, you'd have to use Haskell.

Name: Anonymous 2010-12-17 1:36

Erika once told me that Xarn is a bad boyfriend
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